The top two in the Scottish Championship meet on Tuesday evening as Falkirk head to a Livingston side they are yet to beat in their three games so far this season. Falkirk have accelerated away from Livingston and Ayr at the top of the table and look to have the league title and automatic promotion close to sealed, as they enjoy an 11 point lead at the top. Livingston are on an impressive run, having last tasted defeat in the league on the 4th of January. Despite this, they have failed to get the better of sides of late, having now drawn three matches in a row.

Falkirk last tasted defeat in the last meeting of these two sides on the last day of January. Since then, they have dropped just 4 points in 8 matches. While Falkirk have primarily been regarded for their possession and attack based play, this recent run has been built on a solid defensive foundation. They have conceded in just 1 out of 5 away matches in 2025, which was a 2-2 draw at Hamilton. Looking at their form across these last 8 matches since the loss to Livingston, they have conceded just 0.75 goals per game from an average xG concession of 1.01. They have achieved 2.01 xG, scoring a huge 2.63 goals per game across this spell. These numbers are boosted however by their routs of strugglers Queen's Park and two games against bottom side Airdrie, along with a 5-2 win over a Partick Thistle side playing an hour with 10 men.

Livingston have played 6 games since their win over Falkirk. Last weekend, they played out a pulsating 3-3 draw with bottom side Airdrie who were committing lots of men forward as they need to win every game now. Despite this high scoring match, Livi are scoring at a rate of 1.5 goals per game from 1.39 xG. They are conceding 1.17 goals per game from an average xG concession of 1.07. As we can see, they have been surrendering very few chances as Martindale sets his side up to primarily restrict his opponents.

This fixture is a real clash of systems as Livingston look to break up play, delay restarts and use physicality to get the better of their opponents. Falkirk tend to play expansive, possession based football, and have thus far failed to get the better of a Livi side who employ the dark arts. In the three H2H matches this season, Livingston have had just 5 shots on target, with one of these being a penalty. Falkirk have had just 13 shots on target across these three matches, managing to score just once, also from the penalty spot. In the 4 goals this fixture has seen, 2 have come from the penalty spot with both sides averaging close to just 1.00 non-penalty xG per game.

Livingston have a significant rest advantage ahead of this one as they had the weekend off, while Falkirk only made a couple of changes for their game against Airdrieonians on Saturday. Star veteran Arfield will be relatively fresh after only playing 25 minutes against Airdrie, but Falkirk will be the more tired squad with two players away on international duty and most other starters playing at least an hour on Saturday.

Given the three meetings between these sides so far have only produced 2 goals from open play, Falkirk's 11 point lead meaning they'd be happy with a draw, and Livingston's reluctance to allow games to open up, we believe there is value backing the Unders line at Livingston on Tuesday.

Best odds can be found at Bet365.