Airdrieonians host Greenock Morton in the Scottish Championship on Saturday. Airdrie are now within just 5 points of Queen's Park, the side occupying the relegation play-off spot. With Queen's in freefall and playing teams full of motivation in their final three games, Airdrie know there is a real chance of pulling off a miraculous survival at the bottom of the table, having been on just 6 points at Christmas time. Morton have entered holiday mode early, as their position in the middle of the table sees them with a minuscule chance of relegation and an outsider's chance at promotion. With Airdrie needing to go all out attack, and Morton with nothing to lose but plenty to gain, we should see goals at Airdrie on Saturday.

Airdrie's games have been full of goals in the latter half of the campaign. Over their last 9 league matches, they have averaged 1.67 goals for and against as they play out highly entertaining, end-to-end games. They have averaged 1.49 xG per game, conceding a huge 1.71 on average. This has been a high scoring affair in recent times, with the 5 matches since the start of 2024 averaging 2.8 goals. Only one of these games has seen the Over 2.5 goals fail to land, so with the added need for Airdrie to attack and with Morton having nothing to lose, we should see this rise. Only Falkirk have managed to stop Airdrie scoring across this sample and they look good value to take advantage of a leaky Morton defence.

Morton's last 9 games have produced a huge 1.88 goals against on average, with the Greenock side averaging 1.38 goals for. They have drawn blanks in two of these games, an understandable 0 away at the best side in the division Falkirk and one in an unlucky loss against a stubborn Partick Thistle, where they logged 1.74 xG and 16 shots. They have produced an average xG of 1.34 and conceded 1.43 per game over this spell, and had just two occasions on which the Over 2.5 line hasn't landed. Their 2-0 win away at Hamilton in mid-March was their only clean sheet across this round of 9 matches.

Morton's away days on plastic surfaces like Airdrie's have been highly eventful games in the Championship this season. They haven't coped very well with the switch away from the grass they have at Cappielow, conceding a huge 21 goals across their 7 away days on plastic. This 3 goal per game concession has come from 2.03 xG on average, and their 2-0 win at Hamilton was their only clean sheet on plastic. They have conceded 2 in each of their other games on plastic, with Falkirk putting 11 past them over two matches. Morton have managed 1.29 goals per game from 0.95 xG on average.

Airdrie are likely to be missing an important CB in Aiden Wilson, but his namesake Ben Wilson is expected to return to the fold up top, looking to add to his 9 league goals tally. Morton midfield lynchpin Iain Wilson remains out with a long-standing calf injury, and their games have been much more stretched and open without him in the middle.

Best odds can be found at Betfred.