This is a clear spot to back Buchecha inside the distance. Despite being a world-class grappler, Buchecha brings more than just jiu-jitsu — he’s a capable wrestler, surprisingly tough, and willing to swing on the feet if needed. His loss to Reug Reug (Kane) isn’t the red flag it might seem without context — it came in a high-level clash and was highly competitive, showing Buchecha's grit more than exposing flaws.

On the other side, Buday has shown signs of being a front-runner — a fighter who folds when momentum shifts away from him. That’s a big red flag against someone like Buchecha, who is relentless, physically dominant, and thrives in chaotic scrambles or grinding positions.

Buchecha has finishing upside everywhere here: by KO from ground and pound, by submission if Buday gives his back or gets flattened, and even potentially by dominant decision with top control. While it’s his UFC debut, he’s already proven against legitimate opposition that he belongs, and stylistically this matchup is favorable.

Buchecha inside the distance is the play — whether it’s through a submission, TKO, or dominant grappling leading to a stoppage. His upside is real, and he’s a serious future contender in this division.