The Cleveland Cavaliers, the Eastern Conference's top seed, aim to bounce back in Game 2 of their semifinal series against the Indiana Pacers after a surprising 121–112 loss in Game 1. Despite the setback, the Cavaliers are large favorites at home and are poised to leverage their strengths and playoff experience to even the series.

In Game 1, the Cavaliers struggled with three-point shooting, hitting just 23.7% from beyond the arc, while the Pacers excelled, making 52.8% of their three-point attempts. Donovan Mitchell led Cleveland with 33 points but was 1-for-11 from three-point range. Evan Mobley contributed 20 points and 10 rebounds, and Ty Jerome added 21 points off the bench. The Cavaliers were without All-Star guard Darius Garland, who missed his third consecutive playoff game due to a toe injury.

During the regular season, the Cavaliers averaged 121.9 points per game, 6.8 more than the Pacers allowed (115.1). Cleveland shot 49.1% from the field, outperforming Indiana's defensive field goal percentage of 47.4%. When scoring more than 115.1 points, the Cavaliers had a 48–8 record, including a 39–17 mark against the spread.

The Cavaliers' poor shooting in Game 1 appears to be an outlier. They generated quality looks, particularly on catch-and-shoot opportunities, but failed to convert. Given their regular-season success in these situations, a regression to the mean is expected in Game 2. 

Additionally, Cleveland's defense, anchored by Defensive Player of the Year Evan Mobley, is likely to adjust and limit Indiana's open three-point opportunities, which were a significant factor in Game 1.

Cleveland's size and defensive versatility give them an edge in the paint and on the boards. In Game 1, they outscored the Pacers in the paint and had a rebounding advantage. With potential returns of key players like Darius Garland, the Cavaliers' offensive flow and perimeter defense are expected to improve, making it challenging for Indiana to replicate their Game 1 shooting performance.

Historically, the Cavaliers have performed well as favorites, winning 81.1% of such games this season. When favored by 9 points or more, they have a 20–18 record against the spread. Furthermore, Cleveland has a 34–6 home record, indicating a strong home-court advantage.

In summary, the Cavaliers' statistical advantages, combined with their playoff experience and home-court dominance, make them a compelling pick to win and cover the spread in Game 2 against the Pacers.

Best odds available at SkyBet.