The Boston Celtics face a must-win Game 5 against the New York Knicks tonight at TD Garden, trailing the series 3–1. Despite the absence of Jayson Tatum due to an Achilles injury, the Celtics are 4.5-point favorites, reflecting confidence in their depth and home-court advantage. 

The series has been competitive, with the Knicks winning tight contests in Games 1, 2, and 4, while the Celtics secured a victory in Game 3. In Game 4, the Knicks overcame a halftime deficit to win 121–113, led by Jalen Brunson's 39 points and 12 assists. Tatum's injury occurred late in that game, leaving Boston without their star player for the remainder of the playoffs.

Boston's defense remains a strength, allowing just 107.2 points per game, ranking second in the NBA. Offensively, they average 116.3 points per game, with a +9.1 point differential. The Celtics' three-point shooting is a key component, attempting 47 threes per game in this series. Derrick White has been efficient from beyond the arc, averaging 4.3 made three-pointers per game in the series.

Without Tatum, the Celtics will rely on Jaylen Brown, who averages 22.2 points per game, and Kristaps Porzingis, contributing 19.5 points and 6.8 rebounds per game. Payton Pritchard has also been effective, shooting 47.2% from the field and 40.7% from three-point range. Boston's ability to generate offense from multiple players can compensate for Tatum's absence.

The Celtics' depth allows them to adjust their lineup effectively. Porzingis' size can challenge the Knicks' interior defense, while Brown's versatility poses matchup problems on the wing. Defensively, Jrue Holiday and Derrick White can apply pressure on Brunson, aiming to disrupt his rhythm. Boston's home-court advantage and experience in high-pressure games provide an edge.

Boston has a 9–2 record without Tatum this season, indicating their capability to perform without their star. They have also covered the spread in 59 of 77 games as favorites. The Celtics' resilience and strategic adjustments position them well to win and cover the spread in Game 5.

In conclusion, despite the setback of Tatum's injury, the Celtics' statistical strengths, depth, and home-court advantage make them favorable to win and cover the spread in Game 5 against the Knicks.

Best odds available at BetMGM.