Backing Darderi to cover +2.5 games against Giron is also compelling. Even if he doesn’t win outright, Darderi’s serve and return efficiency mean he’s unlikely to lose heavily. His 81% first-serve win rate and break-point success rate keep him within striking distance even in tighter sets.

Giron tends to encounter difficulty stretching rallies into late-game blowouts and often drops serve at least once per set. Darderi holds serve solidly and has shown he can take one of Giron’s service games if required. Given these dynamics, a maximum 3-4 game loss per set is feasible for Darderi, making the +2.5 game line a strong hedge.