Team
Ben
Ren
While each of their last two fights ended inside the distance, the current pricing on this fight not going the distance feels inflated and doesn’t reflect the stylistic dynamics here. Moicano and Dariush are both high-level grapplers, and while each has finishing tools, their strengths on the mat may largely neutralise one another. Submissions are unlikely given how defensively sound both are in grappling exchanges.
On the feet, this projects to be a measured, low-volume striking affair. Moicano favours a technical, jab-oriented approach, while Dariush often loads up on singular shots and doesn’t consistently push the pace. With both fighters likely to respect each other’s ground game, long stretches of the fight may play out in cautious striking range or with stalled grappling sequences.
Overall, this profiles as a competitive bout that leans toward a decision. The over 2.5 rounds looks to land at a higher rate than the market suggests, and holds value in a matchup where durability and positional awareness could limit finishing opportunities.
Best odds available at bet365.
B