Elfsborg are in top form and return to Borås Arena with five straight wins behind them. At home, they remain one of the league’s toughest sides: 5 wins and 1 draw this season, the only dropped points coming against a strong Mjällby side. Since coach Hiljemark took charge before last season, Elfsborg’s home record reads 14 wins, 4 draws, and just 3 losses—averaging 2.38–1.14 in goals over that stretch.

Their current season numbers back that up: 3.00–1.33 in goals at home (1.41–1.16 xG), and overall 2.27–1.18 (1.67–1.27 xG). The attack is firing and performances continue to trend upward.

Hammarby, while still solid on paper, are coming off a narrow 1–0 win over Degerfors in a match where they struggled to create chances (0.78–0.71 xG). Besara’s long-range strike proved the difference, but the overall performance raised concerns. Adding to that, they’ll be without Vagic, who has been a key part of their central defense alongside Eriksson. Whether Pinas moves centrally or Fofana steps in, the back line will be weaker.

Hammarby’s away numbers are decent—1.40–0.80 goals, 1.24–1.23 xG—but facing Elfsborg away is a different level of difficulty, especially with a weakened defense and some stuttering form.

Given Elfsborg’s momentum, strong home record, and the matchup tilt created by Hammarby’s suspension issues, Elfsborg +0 at 1.83 offers solid value.

Best odds available at Bet365.