Engel also has a strong profile to cover a +1.5 set handicap for the match against Tien. His grass-court success—winning 3 of his 5 matches—indicates he is likely to take at least one set. Engel’s match-winning record in tiebreaks and short sets further reinforces his ability to push through close sets even if he doesn’t close the match entirely.

Examining second-serve resilience, Engel saves a higher percentage of break points and wins more points behind his second serve than Tien—an advantage that generates tight, pressure-filled sets. Tien, while higher ranked, has underperformed in clutch set timings and has not capitalised on his ranking gap when rounds tighten on grass.

Tactically, Engel’s all-in playstyle on grass brings unpredictability that disrupts Tien’s rhythm and prevents straightforward straight-set progression. Should Tien claim a set, Engel’s composure in potential deciders—supported by his recent tiebreak prowess—makes it highly likely he can secure at least one set.

Considering Engel’s improved serve accuracy, confidence in tight-game scenarios, grass adaptation, and ability to push a set off Tien, covering +1.5 sets is not only realistic but statistically informed. He’s a strong candidate to take this option today.