Jacob Fearnley goes up against Flavio Cobolli today with strong indications in his favour. Fearnley has proven his adaptability on grass during pre-tournament matches and was competitively testing elites in warm-ups, while Cobolli has been inconsistent and slightly off-pace, despite forehand firepower.

Fearnley holds a slight statistical edge: he delivers stronger serve placement and improves significantly in tiebreaks, winning over 60% of tight-game points. Cobolli, though dangerous off forehand, struggles under pressure and his return game drops notably in deciding sets.

Matchup-wise, Fearnley’s all-around court coverage, discipline, and tactical patience let him stay close point-for-point. Cobolli’s aggression works when in rhythm, but Fearnley’s capacity to absorb pace and redirect it makes him tough to push off court consistently.

In the context of trends, Cobolli has failed to back up his big performance from Halle on grass, suffering letdowns over the past week. Fearnley, building confidence incrementally, is playing free of pressure and able to exploit Cobolli’s inconsistencies. Backing Fearnley to win today is well supported by form, tactical edge, and mental readiness.