The Golden State Warriors return to Chase Center for Game 6 of their first-round playoff series against the Houston Rockets, holding a 3–2 lead. After a lopsided 131–116 loss in Game 5, the Warriors aim to leverage their home-court advantage to close out the series and avoid a decisive Game 7 on the road. As 5.5-point favorites, Golden State is poised to bounce back, drawing on their playoff experience and statistical strengths.

The series has been a rollercoaster. Golden State secured victories in Games 1, 3, and 4, with standout performances from Stephen Curry and Jimmy Butler. In Game 4, Butler scored 27 points, including 14 in the fourth quarter, leading the Warriors to a 109–106 win. However, Game 5 saw the Rockets dominate, with Fred VanVleet and Amen Thompson combining for 51 points, forcing a Game 6. Despite the setback, the Warriors have demonstrated resilience throughout the series.

Golden State's offense has been potent, averaging 113.8 points per game, slightly above Houston's average points allowed (109.8). When scoring more than 109.8 points, the Warriors have a 33–18 record against the spread and a 39–12 overall record. Defensively, Golden State allows 110.5 points per game, matching up well against Houston's average of 114.3 points per game. At home, the Warriors have a 24–17 record against the spread, indicating strong performance at Chase Center. 

Golden State's playoff experience is a significant advantage. Stephen Curry has been instrumental, averaging over 20 points per game in the series. Jimmy Butler's return from injury has bolstered the team's defense and scoring. The Warriors' bench, including Moses Moody and Buddy Hield, has provided valuable contributions, especially in home games. Additionally, Golden State has a history of bouncing back after losses, demonstrating resilience in high-pressure situations.

The Warriors have a strong track record at home, with a 2–0 record in this series at Chase Center. Historically, Golden State has performed well in closeout games, particularly at home. Their playoff pedigree, combined with the urgency to avoid a Game 7 on the road, positions them well to win and cover the spread in Game 6.

In summary, the Warriors' combination of home-court advantage, playoff experience, and statistical strengths make them a compelling pick to win and cover the spread in Game 6 against the Rockets.

Best odds available at SkyBet.