25 May 2025
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Malmö face a tricky away trip to Göteborg just days after a physically demanding 0–0 draw against AIK. Meanwhile, Göteborg come in fresh, having last played over the weekend in a 3–1 win away to Degerfors.
Göteborg are showing signs of improvement, with attacking duo Fenger (6G, 1A) and Heintz (2G, 3A) combining well in a more direct, cross-heavy setup. Their goals average sits at 1.20–1.50 (1.20–1.23 xG), and at home: 1.00–1.40 goals (1.27–0.84 xG). That style could be especially effective against a Malmö side missing defensive leader Pontus Jansson, who left the AIK match with a suspected hamstring injury.
Malmö are not at their usual level this season, despite a 1.45–0.82 goal average (1.61–1.23 xG). Away from home, they sit at 1.40–1.00 goals (1.38–1.57 xG). Without Jansson, their centre-back pairing of Rösler and Zätterström looks far less comfortable handling aerial threats and clearing deliveries into the box. After Jansson's exit midweek, Malmö lost control in the second half—something rarely seen in their home games.
They also have one eye on the Cup final against Häcken just four days later. With a few players returning from injury, rotation is a real possibility, although no one in the squad has hit strong form.
Given the rest advantage, recent momentum, Malmö’s likely rotation, and tactical matchup, Göteborg +0.5 at 1.82 looks like a strong option.
Best odds available at BetMGM.
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