This looks like a favourable spot to back Sportivo Trinidense on the draw no bet line, with scheduling, squad news, and recent form all working in their favour.

Guarani travel to Chile for a crucial Copa Sudamericana playoff clash against Universidad de Chile on Thursday evening, before returning to Paraguay for this league fixture just three days later. Four days after that, they’ll play the second leg of that same tie. With the Copa now at the knockout phase, it's expected that Guarani will prioritise those fixtures and likely rotate here to manage both fatigue and injury issues. Already, they’re struggling with absences — defenders Juan Daniel Pérez and Juan Gabriel Patiño are both out, Fernando Román is a doubt, while midfielders Aldo Maíz and Bruno Piñatares, and forward Alan Pereira are all unavailable. The defensive issues are particularly concerning against a Trinidense side currently firing on all cylinders going forward.

Trinidense come into this game in electric attacking form, having scored four goals in each of their two games since the Clausura phase began— a 2-4 win away at Recoleta and a 4-3 home victory over reigning champions Olimpia Asunción. They scored four goals inside the opening 38 minutes in the Recoleta game, and while their comeback against Olimpia involved two penalties, it was still a deserved and statement-making win. These results continue the trajectory they built in the Apertura phase — Trinidense have now won five games in a row and are unbeaten in their last nine. They’ve lost just two of their last 20 competitive matches and sit 4th in the Tabla Anual, just one point behind Guarani and five off 2nd place. A win here could see them leapfrog Guarani in the standings and apply further pressure to Cerro Porteño and Libertad above them.

The matchup history also favours Trinidense heavily. These sides have already met twice this season — a 1-3 away win for Trinidense in March and a 1-0 home win just last month. In the last 11 meetings between these sides over the past two years, Trinidense have won 7, drawn 2, and lost only 2. Guarani’s only wins came through a 95th-minute winner and a penalty in a 0-1 — both slim margins. Notably, Trinidense have been dominant away from home in this head-to-head: they’ve played six away games against Guarani in that 11-game span and have won five and drawn one, scoring at least twice in all five wins.

Given the fixture congestion, Guarani’s injury problems and squad rotation risk, alongside Trinidense’s red-hot form and excellent record in this matchup, Sportivo Trinidense draw no bet is a strong position here.

Best odds available at BetMGM.