The Golden State Warriors face the Houston Rockets in a decisive Game 7 of their first-round playoff series. After leading the series 3–1, the Warriors have dropped two consecutive games, setting the stage for a high-stakes showdown in Houston. Despite recent setbacks, Golden State's playoff experience and statistical advantages position them favorably to win and cover the spread in this critical matchup.

Golden State secured victories in Games 1, 3, and 4, with standout performances from Stephen Curry and Jimmy Butler. However, the Rockets responded with dominant wins in Games 5 and 6, forcing a Game 7. In Game 6, Fred VanVleet led Houston with 29 points, while the Warriors struggled offensively, missing 13 consecutive shots during a crucial stretch.

Golden State's offense has been potent, averaging 113.8 points per game, slightly above Houston's average points allowed (109.8). When scoring more than 109.8 points, the Warriors have a 33–18 record against the spread and a 39–12 overall record. Defensively, Golden State allows 110.5 points per game, matching up well against Houston's average of 114.3 points per game. At home, the Warriors have a 24–17 record against the spread, indicating strong performance at Chase Center.

Golden State's playoff experience is a significant advantage. Stephen Curry has been instrumental, averaging over 20 points per game in the series. Jimmy Butler's return from injury has bolstered the team's defense and scoring. The Warriors' bench, including Moses Moody and Buddy Hield, has provided valuable contributions. Additionally, Golden State has a history of bouncing back after losses, demonstrating resilience in high-pressure situations.

The Warriors have a strong track record in Game 7 scenarios, particularly under the leadership of Stephen Curry and head coach Steve Kerr. Their playoff pedigree, combined with the urgency to avoid elimination, positions them well to win and cover the spread in Game 7. Furthermore, Golden State's ability to adjust strategies and leverage their experienced core players often gives them an edge in critical games.

In summary, the Warriors' combination of playoff experience, statistical strengths, and proven resilience make them a compelling pick to win and cover the spread in Game 7 against the Rockets.

Best odds available at SBK.