The Seattle Mariners (23–19) begin a three-game series against the San Diego Padres (27–15) at Petco Park tonight. Seattle, despite a recent 1–5 stretch, remains competitive in the AL West. San Diego, riding a 4–2 run, boasts a strong 16–5 home record.

Seattle's offense ranks third in the American League with a 115 wRC+, indicating efficient run production. They've hit 56 home runs this season, placing them seventh in MLB. Catcher Cal Raleigh leads the team with 13 homers and a .577 expected slugging percentage, showcasing elite power-hitting capabilities.

On the mound, Logan Evans (1–1, 3.60 ERA) has shown promise, pitching five or more innings in each of his last three starts. His ability to induce ground balls could be effective against San Diego's lineup.

Seattle has historically performed well against San Diego, winning five of their last six meetings, including both games at Petco Park in their previous series. In those games, Mariners pitchers combined for a 2.60 ERA and a 0.96 WHIP, effectively neutralizing the Padres' offense.

While Padres starter Stephen Kolek (2–0, 0.00 ERA) has been impressive, his limited MLB experience could be tested by Seattle's potent lineup. The Mariners' hitters, particularly Raleigh, have excelled against ground-ball pitchers, which aligns with Kolek's pitching style.

Seattle has a strong track record in interleague play, winning six consecutive games against National League opponents following a home loss. They've also covered the run line in each of their last six night games against NL teams after a home defeat. Additionally, the Mariners have led after five innings in each of their last four games at Petco Park against NL opponents with winning records.

In conclusion, the Mariners' offensive prowess, favorable pitching matchups, and positive historical trends position them well to secure a victory against the Padres tonight.

Best odds available at William Hill.