Panetolikos look like a good value pick on the positive handicap as they visit Panserraikos this Sunday. Panserraikos have managed just five wins from 15 games this season, with only two of those coming at home (2-1-4 record). Their current form is concerning, having lost their last three matches across all competitions. This includes a disappointing cup exit to a lower-division side and league losses to PAOK and Aris.

One major pro for Panetolikos is their excellent away form. After losing their opening road game to a strong PAOK side, they have gone unbeaten in six away matches, recording three wins and three draws while keeping three clean sheets. Panetolikos also hold a dominant record in this fixture, remaining unbeaten in the last nine meetings with Panserraikos (six wins, three draws). The last time Panserraikos managed to beat them was back in 2001.

While Panetolikos have a few absences—Bakakis (rotational right wing-back), Ariel (out-of-favour striker), and Mladen (centre back)—none of these are particularly significant. The team has coped well with similar situations this season, consistently adapting to injuries and suspensions. Liavas is expected to slot seamlessly into the backline.

Panserraikos, however, are dealing with more impactful injuries. They are missing two left-backs and, most importantly, their starting striker and top scorer Betancor, who is suspended. Betancor has been pivotal for Panserraikos, scoring 10 of their 19 league goals this season. Crucially, all five of their wins this season included goals from Betancor, and each was a narrow one-goal margin. Without him, their already struggling attack—which has managed just one goal in their last three games—will likely face further challenges.

Given Panetolikos’ strong away form, Panserraikos’ difficulty in securing wins, and the absence of their key attacking threat in Betancor Panetolikos +0.25 seems to offer good value at the price of 1.82.