Vitoria host Fiorentina in a top of the table clash in the final gameweek of the Conference League league phase. With both sides guaranteed at least a high-seeding in the playoffs, this match is a shoot-off to guarantee qualification through to the last 16. As Vitoria will be safe with just a draw, our analysis suggests Fiorentina will set up to attack and go for the win on their trip to Portugal in order to avoid an additional two fixtures at the end of winter.

Including qualifiers, 8 of Vitoria's 11 matches in the Conference League this season have seen at least 3 goals. Further to this, the Portuguese side have scored in all 11 of these matches, notching 29 goals along the way. Fiorentina have played 7 matches, with 5 of these seeing 3 or more goals. Fiorentina have also scored in every one of their Conference League matches. Both sides are evidently capable of going forward, and motivation is running high in this match for the away side, which should see the game open up should there be an early goal for either side.

While playing teams at a much lower level than Vitoria, Fiorentina have logged 10 goals and 6.31 xG across their last two matches in this tournament, thrashing LASK Linz and edging Pafos out. On Fiorentina's away day to St Gallen, they managed 3.1 xG and 4 goals before going on to notch 5 goals against Roma in the league just three days later.

Vitoria's last two matches in the Conference have seen them also score 4 at St Gallen and prior to this were held to a frustrating 1-1 draw at Astana in Kazakhstan. Vitoria logged 29 shots and 2.36 xG in this match but couldn't grab a winner which would have seen them guaranteed a spot in the last 16. Having scored 10 goals and produced over 7 xG across their last three matches in all competitions, the attacking prowess of Vitoria has been on full display as well.

Best odds can be found at Bet365.