The Ravens are hosting the Steelers in a rematch of the Week 11 matchup that saw the Steelers come out victors in a tight battle that ended 18-16. The key difference heading into this one outside of the venue is the status of WR Pickens who is destined to sit out in this fixture. Pickens is one of the most relied upon players in the league when it comes to offensive efficiency splits, and QB Wilson sees a huge drop off in EPA per play without him given his threat in the deep passing game. It is unlikely that the Ravens will suffer the same number of turnovers as they did in the first matchup, and this is a great spot for their offense to continue clicking against an overrated Steelers defense which is 16th in success rate allowed since Week 11. On the other side, the Steelers face a top 5 run defense and a much improved Ravens secondary that has been on a steady upward trajectory all season after a slow start. We make this game closer to -8 and seee value in taking the home favourite in this encounter.