The Minnesota Timberwolves host the Golden State Warriors tonight at the Target Center for Game 2 of the Western Conference Semifinals. After a surprising 99–88 loss in Game 1—despite Stephen Curry exiting early due to a hamstring injury—the Timberwolves are poised to bounce back. Oddsmakers have set Minnesota as a 10.5-point favorite, reflecting expectations for a strong response from the home team.

In Game 1, the Warriors showcased resilience, securing a 99–88 victory even after losing Curry in the second quarter. Buddy Hield stepped up with 24 points, while Jimmy Butler contributed 20 points and 11 rebounds. Draymond Green added 18 points, including four three-pointers. The Warriors' defense held the Timberwolves to 17.2% shooting from beyond the arc, a significant factor in the outcome. Anthony Edwards led Minnesota with 23 points but struggled with efficiency, shooting 9-for-22 from the field.

The Timberwolves' Game 1 performance was marred by poor shooting, particularly from three-point range, where they hit just 5 of 29 attempts (17%). This was a stark contrast to their regular-season average of 36% from beyond the arc. Additionally, Minnesota was out-rebounded 51–41, despite having a size advantage with players like Rudy Gobert and Karl-Anthony Towns.

Minnesota's strengths lie in their defensive capabilities and rebounding prowess. During the regular season, they ranked among the top teams in defensive efficiency and opponent field goal percentage. Their ability to control the paint and limit second-chance opportunities will be crucial in Game 2. Furthermore, the Timberwolves have demonstrated resilience after losses, often bouncing back with improved performances.

With Stephen Curry sidelined, the Warriors' offensive dynamics change significantly. Minnesota can capitalize on this by focusing their defensive efforts on players like Buddy Hield and Jimmy Butler, who stepped up in Game 1. Offensively, the Timberwolves need to exploit their size advantage, utilizing Gobert and Towns in the post to generate high-percentage shots and draw fouls. Improved ball movement and shot selection will be key to breaking down Golden State's defense.

Historically, the Timberwolves have shown the ability to rebound after playoff losses, especially on their home court. Their defensive intensity and physicality often increase in such scenarios, leading to better overall performances. Additionally, with the Warriors missing their primary playmaker, Minnesota has an opportunity to dictate the pace and control the game's flow. Given these factors, the Timberwolves are well-positioned to win and cover the spread in Game 2.

Best odds available at BetMGM.