The Los Angeles Lakers face a pivotal Game 4 against the Minnesota Timberwolves, trailing 2–1 in their first-round playoff series. Despite the setback in Game 3, the Lakers are poised to bounce back, with the spread favoring them to cover in this crucial matchup.​

The series has been tightly contested. The Timberwolves took Game 1 with a 117–95 victory, but the Lakers responded in Game 2, winning 94–85. In Game 3, despite LeBron James' 38-point performance, the Lakers fell 116–104, with turnovers and defensive lapses proving costly. 

Unlike their usual standards, the Lakers have struggled offensively, averaging 94.5 points per game in the playoffs, ranking fourth-worst among postseason teams. Their offensive rating stands at 107.4, and their pace is the third slowest. However, their defense has been a strength, holding opponents to 112.2 points per game. 

LeBron James continues to be a driving force, averaging 26 points per game in the series. Luka Dončić, despite battling a stomach bug in Game 3, contributes significantly with 17 points, seven rebounds, and eight assists. The Lakers' ability to generate free-throw opportunities and capitalize on them (20-for-20 in Game 2) showcases their offensive potential. ​

Historically, the Lakers have demonstrated resilience in playoff series, often bouncing back after losses. Their experience and leadership, particularly from James and Dončić, position them well to adjust strategies and exploit weaknesses in the Timberwolves' defense. Given their track record and the urgency of the situation, the Lakers are well-equipped to cover the spread in Game 4.

Our projections make the Lakers 1-point underdogs providing us with value in backing them to bounce back tonight.

Best odds available at BetMGM.