The Washington Nationals come into their game against the New York Mets looking to extend a quiet but effective run of form. Washington has been a tough out lately, especially at home, where they’ve won six of their last nine. The Mets, by contrast, have dropped four of their last five and have seen their bullpen implode multiple times during that stretch. Their starting rotation has been inconsistent, and the offence has failed to generate runs when it matters most, leaving runners stranded in key spots. Washington, though not overpowering, has found ways to manufacture runs and keep games close into the late innings.

Statistically, the Nationals hold key advantages on the mound. Their starter has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts, while New York’s probable starter has an ERA over 5.00 across his last three outings. Washington has the edge in bullpen ERA as well, with their relievers allowing fewer inherited runners to score and producing more swings and misses in high-leverage moments. The Mets’ bullpen, on the other hand, has been tagged for multiple home runs in late innings over the past week, costing them leads in three of those games.

Washington also matches up well tactically. Their lineup features disciplined hitters who don’t chase out of the zone, something that has rattled Mets pitching of late. The Mets have struggled against left-handed batters this season, and the Nationals’ top bats have done considerable damage from that side of the plate. With home-field advantage, a more reliable bullpen, and a sharper rotation option, Washington is in the stronger position to grind out a win in what’s likely to be a closely contested matchup.

Best odds available at Bet365.