The New York Knicks face a pivotal Game 3 against the Indiana Pacers tonight at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Trailing 0–2 in the Eastern Conference Finals after two home losses, the Knicks are in a must-win situation to keep their championship aspirations alive. Despite the deficit, New York has demonstrated resilience on the road throughout the playoffs, boasting a 5–1 record away from Madison Square Garden.

In Game 1, the Knicks suffered a heartbreaking 138–135 overtime loss, squandering a 17-point fourth-quarter lead. Game 2 saw the Pacers secure a 114–109 victory, capitalizing on New York's defensive lapses and turnovers. Jalen Brunson has been a standout performer for the Knicks, averaging 39.5 points over the two games, but the team has struggled to contain Indiana's dynamic offense, led by Pascal Siakam and Tyrese Haliburton.

The Knicks' starting lineup has been under scrutiny, with a net rating of -10.62 in the playoffs and the worst defensive efficiency among all combinations used. In contrast, the Pacers' starting five boasts a net rating of +20.7, highlighting their effectiveness. However, New York's bench, particularly Mitchell Robinson, has shown promise. Robinson contributed nine rebounds and three blocks in Game 2, earning a team-best +6 plus-minus rating in 29 minutes.

Despite the series scoreline, the Knicks have been competitive, with both losses decided by five points or fewer. Their road performance has been impressive, with a 5–1 record in the playoffs and a 24–17 mark during the regular season. Additionally, the Knicks have a 6–1 straight-up record in their last seven road games, indicating their capability to perform under pressure away from home.

The potential lineup change, inserting Mitchell Robinson for Josh Hart, could bolster the Knicks' interior defense and rebounding. Robinson's presence may help neutralize the Pacers' frontcourt duo of Myles Turner and Pascal Siakam. Furthermore, the Knicks must focus on limiting turnovers and improving transition defense to counter Indiana's fast-paced offense.

Historically, the Pacers have struggled in Game 3s after taking a 2–0 series lead, losing by significant margins in previous rounds. The Knicks' resilience on the road, combined with their urgency to avoid a 3–0 deficit, positions them well to cover the spread and potentially secure a victory in Game 3.

In conclusion, while the Knicks face a daunting challenge, their road prowess, potential lineup adjustments, and the Pacers' historical Game 3 struggles provide a compelling case for New York to cover the spread and keep their postseason hopes alive.

Best odds available at Bet365.