The Boston Red Sox arrive in Seattle feeling confident after a 2–0 shutout in the series opener, extending their streak of scoreless innings to 19 over their last three starts. While the Mariners boast a solid rotation and consistent offense, their performance has cooled recently, and they sit just above .500 after going 4–6 in their last ten games. Boston’s mix of strong pitching and opportunistic hitting gives them a well-rounded advantage heading into tonight’s second matchup.

Boston’s rotation has found rhythm, with Lucas Giolito contributing a dominant outing complete with ten strikeouts across six shutout innings, and the bullpen preserving the clean sheet. The Red Sox pitchers have now delivered nearly 20 straight scoreless frames, a remarkable run of form that places pressure on Seattle’s bats. Offensively, Boston has gradually come alive too—their lineup consistently finds runs in tight spots, showcasing timely production and emerging contributions from debuting rookies like Roman Anthony.

The game pits Walker Buehler for Boston against Seattle’s Bryan Woo. Buehler—buttressed by solid relief behind him—shows improved command and low-ERA tendencies after a shaky start. Woo, while reliable, has shown cracks in situational pitching and struggles against teams with disciplined lineups. Boston’s bullpen continues to perform when protecting leads, whereas the Mariners’ relievers have faltered in high-leverage situations. Boston’s defense, bolstered by fundamental reliability, offers an edge over Seattle, whose late-game tightrope efforts have fallen short recently.

In terms of trends, Boston is 50–26 when entering games with momentum following a shutout, showcasing their ability to build on strong outings. Seattle, despite being moneyline favorites, are just 2–8 against the spread in their last ten games and have seen several late leads evaporate under pressure. The Red Sox have also proven adept at stealing wins as underdogs, with a 5–2 record this season when priced at +150 or worse. Tonight, Boston carries all the momentum and structural advantages needed to secure another victory.

Backing the Red Sox to win tonight aligns with their dominant pitching, emerging offense, reliable bullpen, and exploitable matchup against a Mariners team struggling to maintain late-game control. This is a strategically sound pick based on both the statistics and recent narratives.

Best odds available at WilliamHill.