The Oklahoma City Thunder return to Paycom Center tonight for Game 2 of the NBA Finals, aiming to respond from a narrow 111‑110 loss in Game 1 and cover the large spread. With their season-long dominance and a formidable home-court presence, they’re firmly expected to bounce back and regain control of the series.

Through the playoffs, Oklahoma City has been elite. They’ve only dropped consecutive games twice all season, and have responded emphatically after each loss; for instance, after Game 1 of the second round, they erupted for a 43‑point win in Game 2. Meanwhile, Indiana sits atop the East, but Game 1’s win came off a last‑second shot despite a 15‑point deficit and 25 turnovers.

Advanced metrics heavily favour the Thunder. Through the postseason, OKC ranks third in offensive rating (115.9) and leads the league in defensive rating (104.7), yielding a +11.2 net rating—better than Indiana at +3.2. In contrast, Indiana’s defensive rating of 113.8 is a concern against Oklahoma City’s powerful attack.

Tonight’s matchup heavily tilts toward Oklahoma City. Tyrese Haliburton produced the series‑opening heroics, but the Pacers’ elevated turnover count poses a risk. Meanwhile, Shai Gilgeous‑Alexander notched 38 points in Game 1 and will be supported by better performances from Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren—two contributors who were underwhelming in Game 1. OKC’s depth and ability to dominate the boards and force turnovers should exploit Indiana’s weaknesses.

Recent trends support the bet on the Thunder tonight. Both teams are 3‑0 ATS in Game 2s this postseason, yet Oklahoma City remains the choice—backed by their flood‑of‑runs style and home dominance. Indiana, while resilient, may struggle to repeat their clutch performance in hostile territory.

Best odds available at Betway.