PSG and Inter meet in the Champions League final in Munich on Saturday. Paris boss Luis Enrique is looking to finally secure the Champions League trophy for his side, who have repeatedly come close over the last decade in their pursuit to win Europe's premier trophy for the first time. PSG are looking to become the first French side to win a treble after coasting to both the Ligue 1 and French Cup titles. Inter, looking for their 4th Champions League triumph, are now one match away from going trophyless this season despite being in the running for a treble of their own a month ago. With manager Inzaghi being strongly linked with a move away from Inter, a Champions League triumph may be Inter's best stab at keeping the coveted manager in Milan.

PSG have had an unorthodox route to the final on Saturday. Having traded at 70.0 for the UCL trophy during the league phase, in which they took just 4 points from their first 5 games, Enrique's side have had an unbelievable transformation since the winter. Thumping wins in their final three matches over Salzburg, Man City and Stuttgart sealed a spot in the play-off rounds. PSG beat compatriots Brest 10-0 on aggregate in the play-offs, before going on to knockout three English Premier League sides in consecutive knockout rounds. Liverpool, Aston Villa and Arsenal all failed to get the better of Enrique's free-flowing side, although the French side were powered on by the heroics of goalkeeper Donnarumma in each tie. Having sealed the league title on the 5th of April, Luis Enrique has had the luxury of utilising his squad throughout domestic fixtures and allowing his star men to be ready to face the superior opposition found in the Champions League.

Over PSG's 8 knockout games, they have successfully weathered storms against Arsenal and Aston Villa, while they dominated Liverpool in the first leg in Paris with a 1.51 xG differential, only to concede a late losing goal. This 1-0 loss was the only occasion in which they failed to score in the 90 minutes during their UCL knockout rounds, and they managed an average of 2.38 goals per game from 2.05 xG. Their 3-2 loss at Aston Villa was the only occasion they conceded more than once over these 8 games, keeping 4 clean sheets in their 8 games. Having led the tie by 4 goals prior to these goal concessions, it is perhaps understandable for some complacency to leak in. They conceded an average of 0.75 goals per game from 1.38 xG conceded, often relying on Donnarumma to protect their goal.

Questions have been raised around the mentality of this Inter squad after some incredibly mixed form in the business end of the season. While they impressed on the continent by conceding just 1 goal in their 8 league phase matches at the start of the UCL season, their fixture congestion as they began to chase three trophies at the end of the season saw their typically stubborn defence collapse when it matters. While they impressively progressed in attacking shootouts against Bayern Munich and Barcelona in the Quarter and Semi-Finals, Inter collapsed when it mattered in the league and cup as disappointing results against Roma, Bologna, Milan and Lazio over their last 7 domestic matches saw them fall short in the league, alongside suffering a devastating 3-0 home loss to city rivals Milan in the Coppa Italia Semi-Final. In the weeks before the Bayern tie, the Bavarian side suffered a number of injuries to key men. Barcelona were tactically outfought after Flick's side failed to manage their lead at the end of the trip to Italy.

Inter's defensive numbers have consistently gotten worse as the season end approaches, with Inzaghi's men conceding 6 across the Barcelona Semis, 4 against Bayern in that QF tie, and they lost a goal to Feyenoord in the Round of 16. They edged the ties late on against Bayern and Barcelona, and scored 2.5 goals per game from an average of 1.61 xG (in 90 mins). They conceded 1.67 goals per game alongside 1.54 xG against in these knockout ties.

While Enrique comes from the same school of thought as the Barcelona side that Inter edged out in the semis, PSG under his management have demonstrated that they are willing and able to manage games in a more flexible manner than the high-line and ultra attack adopted by Flick at Barca. While the Paris side don't have a singular talent like Lamine Yamal, their multi-pronged attack with quality coming from all three forwards and their strong wing-backs will pose a new tactical problem for the Inter defence. Barca were punished in their tie for not managing the game adequately, and Enrique demonstrated throughout the Arsenal tie that he isn't afraid to switch things up in order to better match his opponent. Given the domestic collapse that Inter have suffered in recent weeks, and the luxury afforded to Enrique in rotating and managing his squad for domestic matches for the last 8 weeks, we are siding with PSG in the final on Saturday.

Best odds can be found at Unibet and Betway.