The 12-1 Chiefs are looking to make a final push to end the season and claim the coveted no.1 spot heading into the playoffs. Despite not covering for the last 7 consecutive games, they are presented with a good matchup on both sides of the ball against an inconsistent Browns team. The Chiefs will be looking to take advantage of a Browns secondary known for a high rate of blown coverage and an inability to defend the deep ball, especially in 1v1 man coverage situations. The recent addition of RB Pacheco will allow the Chiefs a balanced attack as the Browns will have to respect their ground game, in turn opening up the play-action that will allow them to hit some deep balls. Our numbers make this closer to -5.5 and see great value in taking the road favourite on both the moneyline and spread.