UFC 317: Full Card Preview

Disclaimer: The leans below are for informational purposes only and do not represent our official bets. To view our official picks, including recommended odds and staking advice, please visit the Picks page.

Ilia Topuria vs. Charles Oliveira
Topuria enters as one of the sport’s fastest-rising stars, showcasing brutal shot selection, especially with his body-head combinations, and a well-rounded ground game he hasn’t had to lean on much lately. Oliveira is as dangerous as ever with his ability to threaten from any position, but his tendency to get dropped and rely on opponents backing off on the mat could backfire against someone like Topuria, who is capable of following up on the ground and finishing.
Lean: Topuria Inside the Distance

Alexandre Pantoja vs. Kai Kara-France
While Kara-France has the striking edge and one-shot power, he has repeatedly shown issues defending back takes, which is Pantoja’s strongest suit. Pantoja’s control and finishing ability from the back are among the best in the division, and over five rounds, that could prove the difference.
Lean: Pantoja by Submission

Brandon Royval vs. Joshua Van
Van continues to impress with sharp boxing, high volume, and excellent body work. Royval brings his usual chaos and unorthodox style, but he’s less efficient and more hittable. Van has the tools to neutralise Royval’s output and edge out rounds with accuracy and pressure.
Lean: Van by Decision

Beneil Dariush vs. Renato Moicano
Expect a mostly striking-based battle here, with Moicano likely throwing more volume and Dariush landing the heavier shots. Both are durable and tough to finish, so this could go the distance in a competitive affair.
Lean: Dariush by Decision

Payton Talbott vs. Felipe Lima
Talbott thrives on pace, aggression, and constant pressure. Lima is more technical but slower-paced, and may struggle to cope with the physicality and tempo Talbott brings. If he stays upright, Talbott should wear him down.
Lean: Talbott by Decision

Jack Hermansson vs. Gregory Rodrigues
Rodrigues has a clear power advantage and solid takedown defence, which could nullify Hermansson’s main path to victory. While Hermansson is a volume striker, his lack of finishing threat may leave him vulnerable to the bigger moments Rodrigues can produce.
Lean: Rodrigues by KO

Hyder Amil vs. Jose Delgado
Delgado is explosive with a strong finishing track record, but Amil is gritty and brings forward pressure that could test his gas tank. Amil is live, though defensively suspect. This should be a high-action bout with early danger.
Lean: Slight lean to Delgado Inside the Distance

Viviane Araujo vs. Tracy Cortez
Expect a tight contest, likely decided by small moments. Cortez has shown composure and may mix in enough striking and top control to sway the judges. That said, Araujo is still capable of banking rounds herself with forward movement and moments on the feet.
Lean: Cortez by Decision

Terrance McKinney vs. Viacheslav Borshchev
McKinney’s fights rarely go long, and this one likely starts the same — early takedowns and back takes are likely. Borshchev is durable but slowing, while McKinney remains explosive early.
Lean: McKinney Inside the Distance

Niko Price vs. Jacobe Smith
Smith is expected to come out aggressive and look for an early finish. Price’s durability is fading and he’s on the downside of his career. This could be another quick one.
Lean: Smith by Round 1 KO

Jhonata Diniz vs. Alvin Hines
Diniz is the far superior striker here and should land early against Hines, who’s debuting on short notice. Hines appears hittable and vulnerable to fast pressure.
Lean: Diniz by KO

Jackson McVey vs. Cody Ewert
Tough to get a confident read here due to the short-notice nature and limited footage. Ewert looks to be more composed technically, but both men are largely untested at this level.
Lean: Ewert Inside the Distance

As always, final reads may evolve based on weigh-ins and last-minute news. Stay sharp, bet responsibly, and good luck this weekend.