Banfield look like strong value on the Draw No Bet line against a Barracas Central side that have been in poor form for an extended period. Barracas have won just 3 of their last 28 league games, all of them 0-1 away wins, two of which came after their opponents received red cards. They have failed to score in 15 of those 28 matches, highlighting their attacking struggles, and their home form has been even worse. In the last Torneo Betano phase, they failed to win a single home game, picking up 7 draws and 6 losses, scoring just 8 goals in those 13 home matches and conceding 21. Their winless home streak now stands at 15 matches across all competitions, with 8 of those 15 games ending in them failing to score. They haven’t won a home game since April, they did win a few on home turf in the early stages of 2024, overall winning 4 home league games in 2024, all prior to April, but every goal and even assist in these wins came from players who no longer play for Barracas - essentially no current Barracas player has been able to help them to wins on home turf.

Barracas' lack of resources has meant a squad overhaul in the last month, with 31 outgoings and 17 incomings. However, the players brought in don’t appear to be of sufficient quality, with only two of them having any real top-division experience, one of whom is a goalkeeper. So far this season, only three of their new signings have made the starting XI – a winger, a goalkeeper, and a 20-year-old centre-back – while the rest of the team remains from last season. Their two league games so far have shown little improvement, with a 3-1 home loss to Racing, where their only goal came from a goalkeeper error, and a fortunate 0-0 draw with Rivadavia, where time-wasting tactics late on helped them scrape a point.

While Banfield didn't perform much better than Barracas last season, they have come into this campaign with a point to prove and have made significant improvements both on and off the pitch. They have started the season with back-to-back wins to nil and strengthened their squad with a mix of signings and loans, all of whom are first-team-ready. Six of their new additions have already been integrated into the starting lineup, including a completely new midfield three, experienced centre-back Pombo from Independiente del Valle, and key attacking signings in winger Alaniz and striker Tomas Nasif, the latter on loan from River Plate. Both have made immediate impacts, Alaniz scoring a superb solo goal against Newell’s Old Boys last game, and Nasif hitting 3 goals and an assist across his first two games.

Banfield won the last head-to-head between these sides 0-1 away, and the previous encounter ended 0-0 at Banfield’s home despite them dominating the game, producing over 2xG while Barracas managed just 0.5xG. They also have a key rest advantage here, playing a day earlier than Barracas and at home, while Barracas played a day later and had to travel over 1,000km. Now, with just two days to recover, they face Banfield, who only need to make a short 30-minute journey to the game, meaning fatigue won’t be a factor for them.

With Barracas' continued struggles, a lack of attacking threat, a weaker squad, and a poor record at home, and with Banfield’s squad improvements, early season momentum, and rest advantage, Banfield on the draw no bet line offers solid value.