The Philadelphia Eagles face off against the Green Bay Packers in a game where both teams’ situations and stylistic tendencies point toward a lower-scoring affair.

The Eagles are likely to adopt a conservative game plan, particularly in the first half. Quarterback Jalen Hurts’ recent health concerns make it unlikely that Philadelphia will risk exposing him to aggressive runs or unnecessary contact early. Instead, expect a heavy reliance on the running game and short, controlled passing plays. With that said, Green Bay’s pass rush has the ability to disrupt Hurts, especially if the Eagles are hesitant to test his mobility and risk deeper throws. To add to that, Star receiver A.J. Brown is not at full strength, potentially limiting explosive plays and forcing Philadelphia to lean on a more methodical offensive approach.

The Packers come into this game shorthanded offensively, with Christian Watson sidelined and quarterback Jordan Love still nursing injuries. Watson’s absence significantly hampers Green Bay’s vertical threat, a key component of their offense. Without him the Eagles’ Fangio-style defense, which specializes in preventing deep passes, becomes even more effective against a Packers team lacking a reliable downfield option. Love’s inconsistency and struggles early in games this season are amplified, particularly against the Eagles’ elite cover corners and aggressive pass rush. We expect Green Bay to rely heavily on running back Aaron Jones, but Philadelphia’s formidable run defense will make sustained success on the ground difficult. Green Bay’s offensive inefficiency, especially in methodical drives, further supports the case for the under.

Overall, both teams’ tendencies align with a slower-paced, low-scoring game. Philadelphia is likely to prioritize ball control and protect Hurts, while Green Bay’s limited offensive arsenal will also force a cautious approach. This game shapes up as a defensive battle with both offenses likely leaning heavily on the run and struggling to generate explosive plays. Green Bay’s injury concerns and lack of marquee wins this season suggest they’ll be relying on Jordan Love’s heroics, which seem unlikely against a Philadelphia defense firing on all cylinders.

We see value in both the full game and 1st half unders here down to 44.5 and 22 respectively.